Bahia and Corinthians meet in Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for the 12 th round of Serie A. In this stadium, the history of direct confrontations indicates a total equilibrium between these two teams, since there were 2 victories for each team in the last 4 matches However, the last time these two teams played a match at this stadium was on 15-10-2017, for the Serie A, which ended with the victory of Bahia by (2-0). The goals of the match were scored by Vinicius (72 ‘) and Regis (90’) for Bahia. In this game the home factor may be decisive, since both teams present considerable differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Bahia:
After 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, the home team is currently in the 18 th position, with 9 points won. In the last match, they tied with Botafogo at home (3-3), after in the previous match they lost by (1-0), in a match against Paraná. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 13 conceded. For the league, Bahia won 9 points out of 18 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency has not been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 games in this tournament, he suffered the first goal 7 times and never got the comeback.
The Bahia is a club with a certain tradition in Brazilian football, since throughout its history it conquered the Serie A of the Brazilian championship twice, with the most recent title being the 1988. In the Rio de Janeiro championship this year, the team champion was consecrated when winning the grand final by 3×1 against Vitória. In the Serie A of the 2018 Brazilian championship, the team is trying to get out of the relegation zone, looking for a positive result at least before the stop for the World Cup. In the last five games that Bahia played in their stadium, they all scored more than 1.5 goals. We believe that in this match the boss can be maintained, but that the match will not have many goals, since Corinthians has one of the best defenses of Brazilian football and will manage to sustain the attack of the locals, who will be more focused on not suffering goals
Corinthians:
The away team is currently in the 9 th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Santos, by (1-1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Vitória, by (0-0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In their last away match in this competition lost by (1-0) to Flamengo. In the last 5 away league matches Corinthians has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 15 possible.
For this competition, they have not won any of the last 4 away matches. Their attack has scored regularly, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: they have suffered 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (76′-90 ‘).
Corinthians is a club that has a long tradition in Brazilian and world football, with seven titles of Brazilian champion, twenty-nine championship titles from São Paulo. In 2012 he achieved a title of Libertadores and the FIFA Club World Cup. In the season of 2018 the team was champion from São Paulo and in the Brazilian championship of Serie A, after a good start in the competition, lost coach Fábio Carille and now has fallen performance in the last days. When analyzing his last five days, we see that in the five matches there were at most three goals, so, we believe that coach Osmar Loss should maintain a defensive posture in this game and that should help make it a game with few goals.
PREDICTION: Bahia to win @ 2.02
