On Thursday, at 17:00, Aalborg and Aarhus duel in the 32nd round of the Danish first league, in a match in which the guests have a decreasing share. Aalborg is, however, a difficult team to beat when playing on their own field, which gives us a good chance of profit on the hosts. From Aalborg will not play the injured Andersen, while Aarhus does not have Duncan (knee problems).
Aarhus had an exceptional season and is on the 3rd place in the play-off, behind the midfielders and FC Copenhagen. Aarhus has a goal difference of 50-36 and has four points behind FC Copenhagen, so the white-red team still hopes for a place in the UEFA Champions League! The chances are, however, purely theoretical, but we cannot ignore this motivational aspect. However, two quality teams are facing each other and this should support goal betting.
Aarhus has only one failure in the last five league games, while Aalborg has no chances to reach the Europa League – 6th place (goal difference 50-42), with two consecutive victories. Aalborg lost the Danish Cup final (0-2 to Sonderjyske), but won the championship, with Aarhus (4-1) and Brondby (2-0), after good matches. Thursday’s guests come after successes with Nordsjaelland (2-1), Midtylland (4-3) and FC Copenhagen (1-0), with solid games.
Aalborg has on its side statistics from direct duels, because it has won in the previous two games with Aarhus. However, the absence of goal scorer Andersen could be decisive, and Aarhus will be very dangerous through the attacks of Bundu and Mortensen (22 seasonal successes together). We expect a match with a good pace and goals on both sides.
-The “Over 2.5 goals” bet has been won in 4 of the last 5 direct duels;
-Aalborg won the last straight duel 4-1, after leading 3-1 at the break;
-Aalborg have 8 wins and 6 losses in their home matches this season;
-Aarhus is on the 2nd place in the top of the away matches: 8 victories and 4 defeats;
-In each of the last 3 direct duels, 5 goals were scored (4-1, 3-2, 3-2);
PREDICTION: Aarhus to win @ 2,14
